疫苗和疫情相互争锋，金价维持窄幅波动
关键词：金价维持窄幅波动
11月17日，现货黄金出现小幅度下跌，由于市场等待更多的关于财政刺激措施的消息，对黄金构成一定的打压，同时疫苗研发的乐观消息也在打压避险需求，不过新冠疫情的增加也对美元走向构成方向力量。
金价自8月份触及历史高位后就上涨乏力，因美元走强及中国等地区经济增长坚韧，抑制了对黄金的避险需求。若有新一轮财政刺激措施，可能会削弱美元并推升通胀，从而提升黄金的价值储存吸引力。高盛最近重申黄金价格将在2021年受益于再通胀题材，麦格理本周则表示黄金价格可能已经触顶，这种相互冲突的观点可能有助于解释为什么过去几个月大多数时间黄金都在横盘震荡。
在现货市场，次月波动率上周五大跌至7月以来最低，本周进一步延续跌势。COMEX 12月黄金期货收跌0.1%，报1885.1美元/盎司。分析师表示，人们不确定避险资金流的轨迹，一方面疫苗燃起了乐观情绪，另一方面美国和欧洲仍在与疫情作斗争。较长期趋势仍支持金价上涨，但我们看到一些投资者在某种程度上放弃了看涨押注。对许多人来说，疫苗消息降低了长期持有黄金的吸引力。
市场似乎普遍认为黄金在等刺激措施方面的消息，人们想进入黄金市场，但又犹豫不决，因为随着疫苗推出会发生什么情况呢？我认为对黄金而言，总的驱动力将是刺激措施。金价格一定程度上已经消化了所有这些疫苗相关的新闻，这就是为什么价差如此小的部分原因所在。但“即使有了疫苗，向公众推广仍存在问题，”意味着避险需求可能最终会反弹。
随着疫苗消息的出现，市场对美国经济复苏的预期增强，美元会获得提振，金价则可能被打压跌破1850美元/盎司支撑
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.