美元跌至低位,金價跳漲回升
關鍵字:金價跳漲回升
10月5日,現貨黃金大幅度上漲,刷新9月份以來的最高位,由於市場對美國經濟刺激反感的樂觀情緒以及美元出現走弱,拉升了黃金的上漲。同時也有報導稱美國總統可能很塊痊癒出院,刺激股市上漲。
美國眾議院議長佩洛希週末發表樂觀言論後,對財政刺激方案的樂觀情緒開始顯現。佩洛希表示,救助法案磋商正在取得進展。美元指數盤中最深跌幅達0.48%,至93.36,為近二周最低水準,這也支撐了金價。
許未來會達成一個佩洛希和共和黨都會同意的規模較小的協定,我認為刺激計畫將對金屬有利。風險偏好抬頭對黃金不利,並稱本周可能會再次橫盤整理。
不過,美國眾議院議長佩洛西和財政部長姆努欽週一就刺激方案進行了又一輪談判,雖然特朗普力促雙方達成協議,但目前尚未出現協定接近達成的跡象。佩洛西發言人Drew Hammill表示,佩洛西和姆努欽週一通了一個小時電話,並計畫週二再次會談。他們討論了刺激方案的金額,並將交換各自的書面建議。
在過去幾天市場那麼多新聞出來後,金價也並沒有大幅走高,因此對其持謹慎態度。如果連美國總統確診新冠的消息都沒法推高金價,那麼意味著市場確實沒準備好上漲。雖然眼下不是做空黃金的時機,但也沒什麼買入做多的理由。金價要走高需要美國新一輪刺激專案這樣的新推動因素。
知名財經網站Economies.com稱,金價需要維持在1901.80美元水準上方,以令看漲趨勢情景繼續有效;在金價繼續看漲的情況下,下一目標位於1934.86美元;一旦金價再次跌破1901.80美元並維持在這一水準下方,這將重新啟動看空趨勢情景,主要目標指向1860.90美元;1870美元和1920美元將分別對金價構成短期支撐和阻力。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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