美元跌至低位，金价跳涨回升
关键词：金价跳涨回升
10月5日，现货黄金大幅度上涨，刷新9月份以来的最高位，由于市场对美国经济刺激反感的乐观情绪以及美元出现走弱，拉升了黄金的上涨。同时也有报道称美国总统可能很块痊愈出院，刺激股市上涨。
美国众议院议长佩洛希周末发表乐观言论后，对财政刺激方案的乐观情绪开始显现。佩洛希表示，救助法案磋商正在取得进展。美元指数盘中最深跌幅达0.48%，至93.36，为近二周最低水平，这也支撑了金价。
许未来会达成一个佩洛希和共和党都会同意的规模较小的协议，我认为刺激计划将对金属有利。风险偏好抬头对黄金不利，并称本周可能会再次横盘整理。
不过，美国众议院议长佩洛西和财政部长姆努钦周一就刺激方案进行了又一轮谈判，虽然特朗普力促双方达成协议，但目前尚未出现协议接近达成的迹象。佩洛西发言人Drew Hammill表示，佩洛西和姆努钦周一通了一个小时电话，并计划周二再次会谈。他们讨论了刺激方案的金额，并将交换各自的书面建议。
在过去几天市场那么多新闻出来后，金价也并没有大幅走高，因此对其持谨慎态度。如果连美国总统确诊新冠的消息都没法推高金价，那么意味着市场确实没准备好上涨。虽然眼下不是做空黄金的时机，但也没什么买入做多的理由。金价要走高需要美国新一轮刺激项目这样的新推动因素。
知名财经网站Economies.com称，金价需要维持在1901.80美元水平上方，以令看涨趋势情景继续有效；在金价继续看涨的情况下，下一目标位于1934.86美元；一旦金价再次跌破1901.80美元并维持在这一水平下方，这将重新激活看空趋势情景，主要目标指向1860.90美元；1870美元和1920美元将分别对金价构成短期支撑和阻力。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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