美元有所回升,金價創下新漲幅
關鍵字:美元有所回升
10月2日,金價有所下跌,由於美元走強讓黃金的上漲受到限制,目前黃金上漲動力較強,之前美國總統新冠病毒檢驗呈陽性,強烈打擊了投資市場的風險情緒。
黃金市場交易商仍在評估特朗普夫婦罹患新冠肺炎並將接受隔離的消息。一些策略師稱,該消息迫使投資者考慮民主黨候選人拜登的領先地位,拜登在大多數民調中已經領先於特朗普。現貨黃金歐市盤前一度觸及1917.15美元/盎司,為9月22日以來最高水準。
市場對新一輪刺激的期望也提振了金價。美國眾議院議長佩洛西周五表示,與白宮圍繞新一輪刺激方案的談判將繼續進行,特朗普確診感染新冠病毒,可能會彰顯疫情的嚴重性,進而改變會談態勢。她表示對兩黨共同發起一份刺激法案的前景感到樂觀。美國國家經濟顧問庫德洛稱,共和黨人接近達成規模為1.5萬億美元的刺激計畫。
分析師稱:“特朗普確診的消息剛報導出來時,金價一度上漲,但隨即轉跌,因為該消息顯然並未造成股市的恐慌性拋售,投資者沒有急忙轉向黃金等避險資產。”
瑞士信貸指出,金價在8月份達到2075-2080美元的基本預期目標後,擴大了回檔幅度,隨後跌至略高於支撐位1837美元的水準,這是2020年水準的23.6%回撤位。
我們預計,在最終升穿1993美元並看向2075美元之前,這一水準將繼續保持並維持在橫向震盪區間,在明年之前都不太可能出現新的高點。如果最終突破這一點位,將看到核心牛市趨勢的恢復,阻力位將在2175美元,之後看向2300美元。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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