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美元跌破关口,黄金月线下跌

关键词:美元跌破关口

8月31日,现货黄金早间时分录得新高位,由于美联储鸽派政策的转变,是的美元跌至两年的最低点,市场对此感到担忧,推动黄金进一步上涨。不过黄金将要创下五个月以来的首次月线下跌。

美元指数周一跌破92关口,刷新2018年5月以来低点至91.98;因美联储新出台的平均通胀目标政策而承压,该政策将允许利率维持在低位,即使未来通胀略有上升。低利率通常会支撑金价,黄金是对冲通胀和货币贬值的工具。

分析师道,美联储接下来的行动对黄金至关重要。他们维持看多金价的建议。政策转移使美联储的信誉有受损之虞。分析师表示,预计美联储将致力于维持联邦基金利率在零,直到通胀明显高于目标,然后转向购买较长期国债。比起鲍威尔的策略声明,美联储打算如何刺激经济活动并降低失业率,从而带动通胀预期,对黄金更为重要。

8月早些时候,由于新冠病毒流行损害了经济,并导致包括美联储在内推出大量刺激措施,金价上涨至每盎司2000美元以上的纪录高位。上周,美联储主席鲍威尔表明对通货膨胀采取了更为宽松的立场。现在各方焦点将放在9月的政策制定会议。

过去几周黄金市场波动非常大,而这种情况暂时不会有变化。对于本周金价走势,Hug表示看好金价测试2000美元/盎司,而一旦回到了这个关键的心理关口上方,那么黄金市场将出现下一波推动。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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