美元下滑支撑金价,黄金收回日内跌幅
关键词:美元下滑支撑金价
8月3日晚,金价出现巨大反弹,由于美元的大福下滑限制了金价的下跌空间,同时美元指数从近日高位回落,分析师表示黄金回调的原因是技术性原因,整体市场偏上涨,但短期修正的行情都可视为买入机会。
分析师表示:“今日早间期金再次突破2000美元关口,但美元的反弹无疑已经使黄金失去了一些上涨动力。美元升值会使以该货币计价的资产变得更加昂贵。在上周创下历史新高后,黄金出现获利回吐似乎是理所当然的事,但没有任何迹象表明现阶段金价会出现更大的回调。”
美国国债收益率的上升,似乎也限制了黄金的反弹。由于黄金不提供收益率,因此无风险国债的收益率上升可能会削弱黄金的避险吸引力。周一美国10年期国债收益率从上周五的1.198%涨至1.246%。
分析师指出,尽管实际利率仍然是黄金的关键推动力,但金价和美元的相关性增强了。技术面而言,黄金市场在超买红,短暂的回落是很可能的,但整个市场还是偏上行的。
投资者等待就美国国会就新一轮援助计划议案达成协议的迹象,议员们正在努力敲定这项议案。今年迄今,金价已飙升约30%,主要受到低利率和全球央行为缓解疫情经济打击而推出的广泛刺激措施支撑。分析师称,接下去金价的走势要看实际利率的表现,跌至负值的利率可能会进一步下行。“市场情绪看不出来什么看空信号,金价的回落将是小幅的,触及2000大关是很可能的。”
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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