黄金升至九年高位，贵金属迎来乐观预期
关键词：黄金升至九年高位
7月21日，现货黄金出现巨大涨幅，刷新自九年以来的最新高位，除了黄金外，现货白银价格也出现了巨大的涨幅。由于美元遭到市场的抛售，而且市场预期政府货币政策刺激力度将加大，也推动了贵金属的上涨。
贵金属在闪闪发光，主要由于对冠状病毒疫情的持续担忧，以及全球推出更多经济刺激措施的前景。此前澳大利亚维多利亚州的新感染病例激增，刺激了对避险资产的需求。欧盟领导人商定了前所未有的刺激方案，希望推动经济摆脱衰退。白银广泛用于从太阳能电池板到电子产品等各种生产领域，也受到了供应担忧和对工业需求反弹预期的提振。
COMEX 8月黄金期货收涨1.5%，报1843.90美元/盎司，创2011年9月份以来主力合约收盘新高；COMEX 9月白银期货收涨6.8%，报21.557美元/盎司，为2014年3月以来最高水平；其他贵金属周二亦走高，纽约商交所钯期货上涨3.7%，铂上涨7.1%，创4月以来最大涨幅。
欧盟领导人就史无前例的刺激方案达成一致，美元指数大跌，刷新3月10日以来低点至95.04；分析师表示，美元下跌，因为世界的情况看起来略有好转，收益率曲线利率已经全线下降，这再次成为扶助金价的另一个因素。
由于投资者规避冠状病毒疫情可能带来的进一步冲击，黄金和白银成为大宗商品指数中今年表现最佳的品种。宽松货币政策下的低利率也增强了这两种非生息资产的吸引力。投资者需求的激增导致黄金和白银ETF的持仓量达到历史新高。
即使在近期上涨之后，随着投资者继续涌入，仍然有很多银行和交易员预测白银将继续上涨。分析师在一份报告中表示，预计未来6至12个月之内，白银将上涨至每盎司25美元，按照其乐观情景预期，银价甚至可能达到每盎司30美元。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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