美联储维持稳定,金价出现明显回升
关键词:美联储维持稳定
6月10日,美联储公布6月利率决议,维持当前利率不变,符合市场预期,市场认为当前低利率将长时间保持,对美元有一定压力。同时美联储强调疫情风险,偏向于鸽派,现货黄金从低位回升。
美联储在政策声明中对于未来政策前景的描述显示,美联储将维持利率在当前水平,直到美联储确信经济已经度过了最近的危机,并走上实现最大就业和价格稳定目标的轨道。美联储承诺使用所有工具以支撑美国经济,准备好适时调整市场操作计划,将继续进行大规模的隔夜和定期回购操作。
美国5月就业报告交出新增250万个岗位的意外之喜,企业开始重新聘雇员工的速度之快,也让经济分析师感到惊讶。虽然这鼓舞了一些乐观情绪,但美联储官员异口同声表示,经济统计数据的重要性暂时比不上疫情危机的进展。决策官员一致认为,在确定第二波疫情不会迫使民众再度无法出行之前,风险将持续偏高。
美联储已向金融市场提供数万亿美元的广泛支持,就像2007年至2009年金融危机和衰退时期所做的那样。但这一次它走得更远,与美国财政部在购买公司债和市政债、以及向“实体”经济中的中小型企业提供贷款等计划上面进行了合作。
鲍威尔可能会重复危机初期以来的标准承诺,即保持利率接近于零并提供一切所需支持,直到经济“步入正轨”向着实现美联储的充分就业和通胀目标方向前进。
美国银行预计,今年年底美联储资产负债表占GDP的比例将达到40%,德意志银行认为,美联储资产负债表的最大规模“取决于他们购买什么”,并暗示如果美联储放开购买所有资产,资产负债表可能达到130万亿美元。
鲍威尔此前还强调,目前很明显存在第二波疫情的风险,这可能会严重损害信心。流失的岗位可能需要一段时间才能恢复,美联储必须对支持就业保持紧密关注。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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