欧元保持谨慎，市场静待美联储决议
关键词：欧元保持谨慎
6月9日，欧元对美元出现收窄跌幅情况，本周美联储将公布6月利率决议，目前市场更保持谨慎，在没有新消息出来前，保持较为平缓的波动。市场也预测，美联储对经济刺激的承诺将对美元指数造成一定打压，提振欧元兑美元。
分析师表示，美联储料证明其对刺激经济的承诺，将提振欧元兑美元，而采取财政刺激措施的欧盟领导人也应支持该货币对。欧洲央行行长拉加德敦促欧洲领导人采用欧盟的大规模刺激计划，若欧盟“节俭四国”奥地利、丹麦、荷兰和瑞典屈服于大国的压力，欧元有升值的空间。
德国财长肖尔茨表示，总值5000亿欧元的复苏基金将是一个不错的解决方案。
最新消息显示，欧元集团主席森特诺称，将于2020年7月13日卸任欧元集团主席一职，将于周四通知欧元区各国部长，决定不寻求连任，并开启新的选举程序。
欧元兑美元一个月目标为1.15，十二个月内为1.11，将一个月和三个月预测上调至1.15，同时将六个月期和十二个月期预测上调至1.11，这一平行向上的上升幅度不仅反映了全球通货再膨胀趋势，也反映了欧洲尾部风险变化造成的一次性冲击，对六到十二个月看法的关键风险将是美联储在2020年下半年的行动。
最近数周冒险情绪主导市场，已全面挫败美元至少自5月中旬以来的强劲势头，除此之外，欧元兑美元反弹还因主导欧元的数个重大事件提振，这些事件料引发欧元反转，但不大可能推动汇价重返公允价值。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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