避險情緒升溫，金價反彈重回高位
關鍵字：避險情緒升溫
5月1日，金價出現明顯回升，從低位反彈接近34美元，刷新了日內的新高，由於美國總統特朗普的關稅言論，讓市場的避險情緒再次升溫，美股市場出現較大跌幅，黃金避險需求增加。
病毒對經濟的衝擊，投資者對黃金的避險需求增加，推動黃金期貨六個交易日以來首次上漲。
大田環球表示，我們看到美股表現較為疲弱，美國總統特朗普似乎在暗示貿易摩擦將捲土重來。聽到這樣的消息，許多投資者出脫了可能受此影響的各類資產，並重新投資于安全資產，特別是黃金。
目前來看，金價仍存在一些有利因素，美聯儲和歐洲央行本周早些時候表示，由於病毒大流行的影響可能惡化，他們已經做好加大貨幣刺激的準備，這提振了對黃金的保值和通脹對沖需求。
目前為止經濟資料的表現還不足以完全反映出全球經濟受到的影響，但隨著越來越多的資料出來，市場避險情緒還會升溫。美國經濟後市面臨著巨大風險，全球很懂國家都是如此。美國和歐洲的經濟資料會變得越來越差，這會提醒人們經濟受到的影響到底有多大。
此外，整個市場仍然有諸多不確定性，很多國家的封城和居家要持續多久也很難說。我們並不知道最終影響會怎樣，經濟重啟的速度到底能有多快，這都是未知的問題。一旦避險情緒回升，黃金作為避險資產也將受益走高。
疫情對全球大宗商品市場將產生巨大影響，今年將觸1800美元/盎司水準。對明年金價走勢的預期也非常積極，有望突破2000美元/盎司關口，尤其在明年下半年。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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