市場接近崩潰，原油市場持續暴跌
關鍵字：原油市場持續暴跌
4月21日，原油市場的崩潰程度持續擴大，6月WTI原油期貨合約下跌幅度超50%，而布倫特原油期貨則跌幅超30%，當前油價跌勢持續增加不僅因為即將到期的期貨合約，還因為嚴重過剩的供應問題。
因各國為減緩疫情傳播而實施的封鎖措施造成燃料需求低迷，導致供遠遠過於求，迅速造成存儲罐、管道和油輪不堪重負。
據消息人士透露，有國家要求歐佩克在5月之前開始減產，目前就這提案沒有達成一致意見；部分歐佩克國家在今日的視訊會議上稱，他們認為存在減產仍不能穩定油市，不能幫助油價回升的風險。
俄羅斯能源部長諾瓦克稱，全球石油市場處於極度動盪的狀態，市場壓力將持續到5月歐佩克+達成協議，如果有必要，歐佩克+完全有能力做出反應，WTI原油期貨價格的大跌是在衍生品市場，而非是實體原油交易中。
分析師和交易員指出，石油市場最艱難的時刻可能在未來幾周，因為全球範圍內實施的封鎖措施仍在壓制石油需求，而沙烏地阿拉伯、俄羅斯及其它產油大國達成的歷史性減產協定尚未生效，況且這份將於5月1日生效的減產協議遠無法抵消過剩的供應。
全球海上設備存儲的石油增加到近2.5億桶，全球海上儲油量正以“前所未見的速度”增加；布倫特6個月期的跨期價差接近13美元/桶，受此支撐，超大型油輪(VLCC)在這段期間的利潤達每日13萬美元；存儲量正在迅速增加，這可能會繼續壓低油價並影響某些地區的實物交割，這兩者都可能導致減產。
大田環球分析師估計，目前全球原油庫存每週增加超過1億桶，超過美國戰略石油儲備的全部閒置存儲空間。他們預計第二季度全球整體過剩供應規模達每天8百萬-9百萬桶。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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