加拿大维持当前利率，美元兑加元出现激烈震荡
关键词：加拿大维持当前利率
在4月15日晚，加拿大央行宣布维持当前0.25%的隔夜贷款利率不变，并暂时增加购债的份额，但指出当前恢复的途径有很多，在数据公布后，美元兑家园出现激烈的震荡。
加拿大央行决议称，尽管存在高度的不确定性，但估计显示，近期经济下滑看来将是有记录以来最严重的，上半年全球经济大幅收缩在所难免。
加拿大央行决议称，全球复苏可能是渐进的，加拿大复苏的时机和进展存在相当大的不确定性，恢复的途径有很多。经济衰退的不确定性和创伤效应可能会在很大程度上延长加拿大的复苏。
过去一个月，该央行已经先后三次紧急降息，累计降幅达到150个基点，并开启量化宽松计划，大规模购买政府债券，藉以因应新型冠状病毒带来的经济影响。行长波洛兹此前称，0.25%为“实质下限”。
加拿大3月份工作岗位创纪录减少逾101万个，失业率飙升至7.8%，因冠状病毒疫情导致非必要商业活动瘫痪。分析师则警告称，最坏的情况还没有到来。加拿大经济主要仰赖出口石油等大宗商品，因此加拿大可能会受到全球经济萎缩的严重冲击。
国际货币基金组织预测，预计2020年全球经济将萎缩3.0%，这将是1930年代大萧条以来最严重的经济滑坡。加拿大2020年经济将下滑6.2%。
加拿大央行决议认为，随着全球经济活动和石油消费正常化，油价应会上涨，但鉴于库存仍将在一段时间内保持高位，预计复苏将是渐进的。如果运输需求持续低于疫情危机前的水平，油价可能会保持低位。
加拿大两家主要银行首席执行官上周表示，与2008年金融危机相比，冠状病毒大流行对加拿大经济的影响将更广泛，且更具挑战性，复苏时间可能比预期的长。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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