黄金多头继续发力,触及七年半高位
关键词:黄金多头继续发力
4月14日,金价出现巨大涨幅,上涨近2%,刷新近七年半以来的最高位,由于疫情对全球经济的重创,并引发各国央行出台大规模经济刺激计划,市场纷纷将资金转入黄金等避险市场。
期货和现货价格之间的价差仍然很大,现货黄金相比COMEX 6月黄金期货折价超过30美元,由于实物黄金市场受到的干扰,最近几周以来一直呈现这种折价状态,这表明市场内流动性稀少,加剧了价格错位。
有大量避险买盘,目前存在对经济衰退/萧条的担忧,经济前景看起来相当严峻。美联储上周刚刚挹注2万亿美元,世界各地的其他央行也在做同样的事情;利率处于或接近于零,市场担忧不断,这为黄金升穿每盎司2000美元创造了一个完美的环境。
国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二表示,由于冠状病毒疫情导致经济活动停摆,预计2020年全球经济将萎缩3.0%,这将是1930年代大萧条以来最严重的经济滑坡。目前全球累计确诊病例数已近200万例,这迫使各国实施停摆措施,并促使央行出台支持举措。
美国尽责联邦预算委员会(CRFB)周一表示,新冠疫情导致美国经济急剧下滑和政府大规模救助支出,这将使美国2020财年赤字达到原先预估的接近四倍,触及创纪录高位3.8万亿美元,相当于美国国内生产总值(GDP)的18.7%。
在金价上涨的同时,全球股市也出现上涨,此前中国公布的贸易数据好于预期,且一些国家试图通过部分取消旨在遏制疫情的限制来重启经济。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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