黄金创下新高，因市场对经济增长的忧虑加重
关键词：市场对经济增长的忧虑加重
在4月13日，现货黄金出现大幅度上涨，创下近7年以来的最大高位，由于市场担心当前的疫情对全球经济造成的打击十分严重，对美国企业的盈利也有明显的重创，市场入手黄金避险。
分析师表示，美国股市目前呈大幅震荡走势，无法消化这种走势的人们正继续大举买入黄金，我仍然认为，未来的通胀是黄金将出现潜在买盘的最大原因。通胀被认为对黄金利好，因当物价压力上升时，买入黄金被视为一种安全的保值手段。
上周，美联储宣布了高达2.3万亿美元的额外援助，包括承诺为市场风险角落提供支持；投资者担心全球债务可能增加以及经济前景黯淡，纷纷寻求避风港。美国主要股指周一下滑，道指一度跌逾500点，美国企业进入财报季，预计盈利将因新冠疫情而大受打击。
从宏观角度看，由于人们对全球巨额债务的产生最终将被货币化并导致严重通胀深感担忧，实际货币积累仍在继续，这使得投资者对黄金的需求不断增加。
出，如果金价能够维持住1700美元/盎司上方，那么对黄金创下新高是很有建设性的。但距离创新高的价格，黄金市场还有一段距离。如果疫情造成的影响比表面上的更大，那么黄金的买盘会加速。
美联储的刺激项目是推动金价上行的主要因素，美联储已经把一切都投入进去了,对黄金市场影响最大的两大因素分别是美国实际利率和美元的购买力预期，两者都是负相关关系，眼下对其都持看空预期。在美联储的宽松后，美国实际利率会进一步下跌，至负值，甚至测试金融危机前的低位。并且将使得美元被大幅贬值。该行表示继续看多黄金。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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