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欧洲央行下调经济预期,但通胀预期不变

关键词:欧洲央行下调经济预期

3月12日晚,欧洲央行行长拉加德表示当前经济前景高度不确定,并下调经济增速预期,但通胀预期则维持不变。同时经济增速将很块恢复,要求各国大规模刺激经济发展,欧元对美元短线出现激烈震荡。

拉加德称,不确定性对投资造成负面影响,新冠病毒蔓延加剧了市场波动,对经济产生很大影响。

拉加德强调,各国需要大规模的刺激,需要推行有魄力且协调的财政举措,欧洲央行强力支持欧元区政府的决定。

欧洲央行预计,2020年GDP增速0.8%,此前为1.1%;预计2021年GDP增速1.3%,此前为1.4%;维持2022年GDP增速1.4%不变

欧洲央行维持未来三年通胀预期不变:2020年通胀预期1.1%;2021年通胀预期为1.4%;2022年为1.6%

人们担心疫情及其引发的金融市场恐慌,可能很快就演变为经济衰退,给欧元区苦苦挣扎的经济造成又一重击。这场危机是欧洲央行行长拉加德的一次大考,11月刚上任的她,自称是货币政策的“睿智猫头鹰”。

虽然有心协助,但实施了接近10年的刺激政策后,欧洲央行手头威力最强的武器已经用光。利率已位于纪录低位、价值2.6万亿欧元的多数政府公债也被其吸纳殆尽,而且提供免费现金以维持银行业放贷也已施行多年。

据了解情况的消息人士透露,欧盟和大型银行正在研究一项数亿欧元的企业贷款计划,以帮助苦于应对新冠全球公共卫生事件冲击的欧洲企业获得低成本贷款,该计划有望在几天内公布。

欧盟执委会的一位发言人说:“帮助遭受重创的企业……提供短期流动性是欧盟应对新冠全球公共卫生事件危机的经济政策的关键部分。”他表示,正在与欧洲投资银行研究可以立即实施应对全球公共卫生事件的方案。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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