美国CPI数据超出预期，现货黄金维持稳定
关键词：现货黄金维持稳定
3月11日，美国公布了市场密切关注的2月份CPI数据情况，数据结果小幅超出市场预期，在数据公布后，现货黄金出现小幅度下落，但整体仍维持在震荡趋势。
具体数据显示，美国2月季调后CPI月率实际公布0.1%，预期0.0%，前值0.1%。美国2月未季调CPI年率实际公布2.3%，预期2.2%，前值2.5%。
美国2月CPI月率意外上涨，但未来几个月有可能下滑，因疫情抑制了部分商品和服务的需求，其影响将超过因供应链中断而带来的物价上涨。报告显示上月潜在通胀稳步上升，但不太可能改变市场对美联储将在下周降息的预期。
美国通胀水平一直是美联储进行货币政策调整的核心关切。在近来的美联储议息会议声明当中，美联储主席鲍威尔几乎每一次都提到了当前美国核心通胀水平不达目标，并表示美联储对于挽救通胀的决心。
上个月美联储主席鲍威尔表示，我们将密切留意疫情的最新进展。目前美国低利率环境可能会限制央行在经济低迷时期下调利率以支撑经济的能力，更加可持续的联邦预算路径将给予政策制定者在经济低迷时期运用财政政策的空间，并在更长期内提振经济增长。鲍威尔预计未来几个月通胀将接近2%。围绕贸易的不确定性最近有所减少，但风险犹存。
分析指出，对于今年美国的通胀走势，从收入的角度来看，当前美国平均周薪同比增速趋势性向下，平均薪资增速对于核心PCE上行的有所拖累。从投资的角度来看，目前美国投资增速下行明显，难以起到拉动通胀的作用。从消费的角度来看，美国消费数据边际向好，保持温和增长，消费增长或将成为通胀水平上升的动力。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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