美国制造业数据略好于预期,金价维持千六关口附近
关键词:金价维持千六关口
3月2日晚,美国公布了2月ISM制造业数据情况,数据结果显示稍微好于市场的预期,而在数据公布后,现货黄金维持在千六关口附近,想要有更多变化,需要更多因素的刺激。
具体数据显示,美国2月ISM制造业PMI实际公布50.70,预期50.5,前值50.9。其中分项,美国2月ISM制造业就业指数实际公布46.90,预期47.5,前值46.6。其中美国2月ISM制造业物价支付指数跌至去年10月以来最低水平。
分析指出,美国制造业和服务业活动2月双双陷入停滞,因对公共安全问题造成经济影响的担忧不断加重。不过,其他美国数据相对乐观,初请失业金人数保持在低位,美国经济目前已连续11年录得增长。
分析师指出,虽然当前不会排除第一季经济增长进一步放缓的可能性,但也很难相信经济正处于衰退边缘。分析指出,公共卫生安全问题,导致旅游等行业的需求疲软,以及出口下降和供应链中断。企业对支出持谨慎态度,因担心11月美国总统大选前出现更广泛的经济放缓和不确定性。
受公共卫生事件影响,全球客运需求将出现2009年以来首次下降。同时此前苹果公司发出了营收预警,称iphone供应将受到公共卫生事件影响,截至3月份的季度营收目标将无法实现。
由于全球制造业产业链高度整合,全球公共卫生事件等不确定性因素可能会对全球制造业造成负面影响,并在美国的制造业数据中有所体现。
美国1月营建支出录得近两年来最大涨幅,但在新冠肺炎疫情可能会拖慢全球经济增速的阴影下,这一令人乐观的消息黯然失色。今年1月,美国私人营建项目支出跃升1.5%,创下2018年2月以来最高水平。较低的抵押贷款利率正在支撑着美国的住宅建设,住宅投资在连续六个季度出现萎缩的后,于2019年下半年开始稳步增长。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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