欧元兑美元创新低,负利率政策惹争论
关键词:负利率政策
2月18日,欧元兑美元延续下跌走势,刷新新的低位,同时市场上的欧洲负利率的争论开始升温,同时避险情绪也对美元有一定的推升作用,当欧元兑美元的走势持续下行,而鲍威尔兑美国经济有乐观预期,欧元兑美元将进一步走低。
欧洲央行的政策预期给欧元沉重的压力,同时也遭到了德国鹰派的强烈不满。外界的埋怨和不满对欧洲央行行长来说已是“家常便饭”,欧洲央行的次级工具已经招致了很多激烈的政治情绪
决策者们坚称,目前-0.5%的利率所产生的副作用还不至于大于更普遍的经济益处。经济学家将负利率利弊相抵的水平称为“反转利率”。但是借贷成本低于零引起一些公民的不满,意味着这项政策可能还面临政治因素限制。
许多官员肯定不愿公开承认这样一个提振通胀的重要工具在政治上是有期限的。这不仅会限制他们的选择范围,也会损害欧洲央行的独立性。和一些同行一样,欧洲央行也面临来自于渴望影响其策略的政客们日益沉重的压力。
欧洲央行行长拉加德11日在法国斯特拉斯堡表示,欧洲央行正着手应对数字化、气候变化以及欧元系统结构缺陷三大结构性挑战。
欧洲央行1月份启动货币政策战略评估,计划年底前完成。拉加德强调,欧洲央行将评估数字化快速发展、环境可持续性发展面临威胁、全球化以及金融结构演变如何进一步改变货币政策运行环境。
拉加德说,更富弹性的欧洲经济货币联盟将提高欧元区的抗风险能力,也将支撑欧洲的全球影响力,包括使欧元在世界范围内更具吸引力。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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