黄金成为市场宠儿
关键词：黄金多头趋势
当前全球股市大跌，市场对未来的经济发展情况产生担忧，市场资金有明显的避险需求。同时美国政府关门，英国无协议脱欧风险增加，黄金的避险地位也得到了提振，同时俄罗斯原油产量创下历史新高，美国和沙特的产量也处于高位，原油供需失衡的状况再次被市场放大。
当前，全球股市大跌，市场对未来经济出现隐忧，资金有明显的避险需求。特朗普总统也反复施压美联储，美联储加息面临压力，这对未来美元继续走强造成威胁。同时，美元位阶相对偏高，资金将更加偏爱目前位阶偏低的黄金。目前，美国政府即将关门，英国无协议脱欧风险巨增，在一系列风险事件发生时，黄金也将受到提振。
从黄金的日图级别来看，黄金已经突破前期高点，再创新高。目前，均线系统多头排列，表明整体趋势向上。5天线和10天线形成正鸭嘴，有加速向上的动作，但是KD有背离迹象，短线有冲高回落的可能。黄金处于上升阶段，多头形态明显，后市继续向上的概率较大。操作上，可等待拉回后找买点。
API数据出炉，美国上周原油库存增加345.2万桶。俄罗斯上月原油产量已创历史最高纪录，美国和沙特的产量也处于高位，原油供需失衡的顾虑再次被投资者放大。于是，油价重挫约7%，连续第三日下跌，创下约15个月来的新低，市场对油价进一步走空的担忧加剧。同时，全球经济的放缓，也减少了市场对原油的需求，如果供给不能减少，油价仍有进一步下跌的风险。
从美原油4小时级别来看，美油呈现瀑布式的下跌，已经明显大幅跌破前期震荡平台。目前，均线空头排列，空头趋势不变。短线出现止跌迹象，技术上有向上回踩5天线的需求。KD的部分已经明显超卖，并且伴随低位钝化，有反弹调整的可能。原油走势相对弱势，即便短线出现反弹，后市也仍然有破底的可能。操作上，短线不宜追空，可等待反弹后再做观察。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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