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脱欧剧情出现新变化,内忧外患皆来袭

关键词:英国脱欧

因英国脱欧协商局势再次出现变化,英国前脱欧大臣和英国脱欧欧高级部长相继辞职,同时英国首相的地位可能再度受到挑战。在欧元区原本已经困难重重的情况下,欧元想要多头,看来是不行了。

不过随后英国首相特雷莎·梅称,相信北爱尔兰边界问题能通过未来伙伴关系得到解决,我不希望延长过渡期也不认为需要延长,我们没有留欧的计划,继续为无协议脱欧做准备。

欧盟官员表示,欧盟和英国的谈判代表将力争在11月25日欧盟峰会前就英国脱欧协议允许的最大过渡期达成一致。这一相对明确的表态缓和了市场紧张情绪,带动欧元反弹至1.13上方。

此外欧元区内部的局势也令欧元多头头疼,西太平洋银行分析师主管Richard Franulovich警告,11月份欧元区政治逆风上升且欧元区经济不确定性增加,欧洲经济扩张出现放缓迹象,但需要看这种放缓是暂时性的还是持久的。

12月欧洲央行例会将至为关键,政治不确定性将上升,意大利2019年预算案面临考验,德国面临的领导人更替,预计未来几周欧元兑美元将跌至18个月新低1.1050,2019年将进一步跌至1.0900。

欧元兑美元近期维持看空态势,只有重回1.1390上方才能将走势转为中性,日线图显示欧元兑美元已经回撤至1.1310附近,这为空头重新做空创造了条件。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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