美元反击金价受挫,关注重大数据
关键词:美元反击
8月28日美元跌至周四新低之后出现回升,因投资者出脱对美元的避险押注,通过消费者信心指数提升,美元得以提振。因美墨达成贸易协定后,美债收益率上涨,金价造成下跌。而众多最重要经济数据也相应出炉。
28日美国商务部公布,美国7月商品贸易逆差为722亿美元,环比增长6.3%,6月逆差由683亿美元修正为679亿美元。7月逆差不但高于市场预期值690亿美元,也是今年2月以来最高值,7月逆差的环比增幅是2015年3月以来最大。7月美国商品出口额下降1.7%至1400亿美元,为连续第二个月下滑。进口额增长0.9%至2122亿美元。7月机动车出口增加,但资本品和消费类商品下降。进口各类别中,除消费类商品外,食品、工业辅料、资本品均增加。
周二美国公布的API报告显示,美国8月23日当周原油库存增加3.8万桶至4.057亿桶;当周原油进口减少5000桶/日至840万桶/日;当周API库欣地区原油库存增加13万桶,前值增加19.5万桶;当周API汽油库存增加2.1万桶,前值减少93万桶;当周API精炼油库存增加98.2万桶,前值增加176万桶。知名金融博客零对冲表示,美元上涨施压油价下跌,API数据显示原油库存全线增加,进一步打压油价走低。
美国咨商会公布的数据显示,美国8月谘商会消费者信心指数133.4,创2000年10月份以来新高,预期126.6,前值由127.4修正为127.9;美国8月谘商会消费者现况指数172.2,前值165.9;美国8月谘商会消费者预期指数107.6,前值101.7。8月美国消费者信心增强,且增长幅度超出预期,这表明美国民众受近期全球市场动荡的困扰不大;同时,8月谘商会消费者现况指数升至172.2,说明消费者对美国经济现况看好;谘商会消费者预期指数升至107.6,表明民众对未来6个月的经济前景看法乐观。
美国10个地区联邦储备银行的董事在7月下半月的投票中建议美联储理事会将央行的贴现率维持在2.5%不变,而克利夫兰和堪萨斯城联储的董事则倾向于将贴现率提升至2.75%;周二在华盛顿发布的董事会议纪要显示,总体而言,董事们对经济前景乐观,经济状况报告大多有利;许多董事评论了仍然紧俏的劳动力市场以及雇主试图吸引和留住熟练和非熟练工人的挑战;一些地区的董事们注意到房地产市场低库存和房价上涨;董事们继续观察到适度的工资压力,但某些行业的工资,特别是信息技术和交通运输行业,增长速度加快。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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