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美联储12月或将打压黄金

11月22日,黄金价格上涨,因在美联储公布会议纪要前美元下跌,受累于美国经济数据弱于预期。美联储发布的会议纪要显示,大多委员预计美联储将在短期内加息。美国数据疲弱拉低美元和美债收益率,技术图表显示,金价仍有进一步上升空间。

周三(11月22日)黄金价格上涨,因在美联储公布会议纪要前美元下跌,受累于美国经济数据弱于预期。
美联储主席耶伦周二(11月21日)表示,应继续循序渐进地升息。但她也警告,对通胀将很快回升“非常不确定”,暗示对升息采取谨慎态度。数据显示,美国10月资本财新订单意外下降。这令美元下滑,美国公债收益率下跌。

美联储稍后发布的11月货币政策会议纪要显示,大多委员预计美联储将在短期内加息。 分析师表示,美国国债收益率曲线不断趋平,支撑日元并拖累美元,这使得黄金受益。

美国国债收益率曲线周二触及十年来最平水准,因预期美联储将加息,通胀将继续保持在低位,美国政府将增加发行中短期国债,同时延迟大幅增加较长期国债的发行量。

分析师补充说,投资者青睐持有黄金,以对冲风险,包括全球股市可能从目前纪录高位回落等,预计到年底黄金将升至1325美元/盎司。

分析师认为,明年美联储加息,很可能提振美元,将对黄金施压。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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