英国CPI年率升幅创逾两年高位
英国国家统计局公布了英国11月CPI月率和10月零售物价指数月率。公布数据显示，英国11月CPI月率为0.2%，符合预期，前值为0.1%。11月零售物价指数月率为0.3%，好于预期的0.2%，前值为0%。
其中，英国11月核心CPI月率为0.2%，好于预期的0.1%，前值为0%；英国11月核心CPI年率为1.4%，好于预期的1.3%，前值为1.2%；英国11月零售物价指数年率为2.2%，不及预期的2.1%，前值为2%；英国11月未季调输出PPI月率为0%,不及预期的0.2%,前值为0.7%；英国11月未季调输出PPI年率为12.9%,不及预期的13.5%,前值为12.4%；英国10月DCLG房价指数年率为6.9%，不及预期的7.3%，前值为7%。
英国统计局表示：“CPI上升是由服装、娱乐、文化行业价格以及油价上涨带动。”
分项数据显示，11月出厂价格年率上升了2.3%，升幅创2012年4月以来最大。投入价格年率升高了12.9%；进口成本年率上升了14.6%，创5年来最大升幅。
分析认为，来自ONS的最新数据增加了因英镑下跌和油价走高导致通胀压力加大的证据。
最近几个月对价格展望的快速变化已经迫使英国央行在8月降息后转变其立场。经济学家预计当英国央行于本周四(12月15日)宣布其2016年最终决定时，该行将维持关键利率在历史低位0.25%不变。
彭博调查的分析师中，有近2/3认为英国央行下一次将加息，因到2017年初英国通胀可能升破2%的目标位。
数据公布后，因英国11月CPI及11月零售物价指数略好于预期，英镑兑美元反应平淡交投于1.2693；但数据公布前，英镑一度触及一周高点1.2706。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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