英镑兑美元从七年低位上涨
周一，英镑兑美元微幅反弹，受助于月底平衡账目的资金流动，但英镑仍接近七周低位，受累于英国可能脱离欧盟的担忧。
英镑兑美元稍早下跌最多至1.3836美元，为2009年3月以来的最低点。英镑贸易加权指数料将录得自2008年金融危机最严重时期以来的最大月度跌幅。
英镑兑欧元周一上涨1%，报约0.78英镑，上周曾触及14个月低位的0.7928英镑。欧元今日兑其它货币普遍走低。
瑞银称，英国脱离欧盟的概率为40%，如果6月23日的公投结果赞成脱欧，则英镑兑欧元可能跌至平价，而如果选择留在欧盟，则汇价将回升至0.73英镑，意味着脱欧的投票结果将使英镑价值下降逾25%。
花旗策略师在一份研究报告中称，英镑在遭到大幅抛售后本周可能得到一些喘息空间。
英镑兑美元上周录得逾七年来最差周度表现，下跌逾3.5%，但商品期货交易委员会数据显示，投机客在截至上周二当周将看跌英镑的净空头头寸减少至六周来最低。
英国公债收益率大幅下挫，与德债收益率走势基本一致，在数据显示欧元区本月重陷通缩后，德债收益率触及10个月低位。10年期英债 GB10YT=RR 收益率下跌约5个基点，报1.345%。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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