加拿大央行维持利率不变
关键词：加拿大央行维持利率不变
加拿大央行周三（10月21日）决定维持利率不变，不再进一步下调利率，央行认为加拿大经济受益于油价反弹而出现复苏，虽然预计未来两年经济增长将略低于预期。
加拿大央行维持隔夜利率在0.5%。该国央行曾在1月和7月下调利率，因油价出现暴跌对经济带来负面影响。央行周三表示，此前的利率下调正在帮助经济恢复增长。
加拿大央行在利率声明中表示，“在非资源部门，经济强劲的迹象更加明显，因为此前的货币政策刺激行动以及加元兑美元贬值带来效果。”
然而，油价和其他大宗商品维持低位抑制了资源部门的商业投资和进口，因此该行将2016年的经济增长预期从2.3%下调至2.0%，将2017年的预期从2.6%降至2.5%。
央行调降增长预期的行为也推迟了经济达到完全生产能力的时间，从6月预估的2017年上半年推迟到2017年中期，因经济疲软程度上升。
但该央行预计核心通货膨胀率将提早三个季度回到2.0%的目标，该时间预计在2016年第三季度，整体通胀预计将在2017年第一季度达到目标，早于此前预计的2017年第二季度。
潜在通胀趋势仍然处于1.5-1.7%，核心通胀率暂时性地受到“加元走软抵消经济闲置产能造成超低通胀压力”的影响。
今年全球经济增长速度略逊于预期，但推动2016年和2017年经济回升的动力在很大程度上仍完好无损。
随着加拿大经济保持复苏势头，以及家庭借贷利率开始正常化，该国央行预计，房地产市场和家庭负债未来两年将保持稳定。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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