美联储下调长期利率及PCE通胀预期
关键词：美联储下调长期利率及PCE通胀预期
美联储周四下调了其长期利率预测，这一举措似乎在暗示美国经济承受货币政策紧缩的能力正变得越来越差。
美联储将长期利率预测中值由6月的3.8%下调至3.5%。
美联储现预计2015年联邦基金利率为0.4%，2016年为1.4%，2017年为2.6%，2018年为3.4%，均低于6月份的预测。
此外，美联储还下调了对2015年、2016年和2017年个人消费支出价格指数（PCE）的预期，预计PCE通胀率在2018年前不会升至其2%的目标。
不过，美联储对失业率的预测更为乐观，下调了其对2015年、2016年、2017年和长期失业率的预测。美联储现将长期失业率预期下调至4.9%，此预期为5.0%。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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