美国2016年原油产量料持续下滑
关键词:美国2016年原油产量料持续下滑
德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)策略师Michael Lewis在报告中称,由于美国原油产量对石油钻井数下滑的反应比预料的要慢得多,因此明年产量将出现持续性下滑。
美国油服贝克休斯(baker hughes)公布的数据显示,美国至6月12日当周石油钻井总数(口)实际635,前值642,预期642,为连续第27周下滑。
同时,美国能源信息署(EIA)预计美国5月原油生产增长大约960万桶,与2014年第四季度平均水平相比,美国今年原油产量大约高出40万桶。
Lewis表示,“结合基本面疲软以及我们的价格预期,预计之后美国产量存在一些下行风险。”
对于近期美国原油库存持续减少,德意志银行指出,这是因为进口下降以及炼厂利用率提高所造成的,且影响被过分夸大。
该行预计,今年5-9月美国关键盆地的原油产量的下降30万桶/日,并拉低产量回到2014年12月水平。同时,预计美国四季度钻井活动将加速。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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