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希腊若退出欧元区 将妨碍美联储加息

关键词:希腊若退出欧元区 将妨碍美联储加息

希腊救助谈判处于崩溃边缘,或许这一次,这个几近破产的国家将真的被踢出欧元区。在全球债市几乎快排除了今年希腊违约的威胁之时,投资者需要重新审视了。

很明显,尽管现金即将枯竭,偿债最后期限即将到来,希腊及其债权人距离解决该国的财政困境依然很遥远。希腊违约及随后市场动荡的可能性,促使投资者将资金投入到最值得信赖的债券市场,包括美国债市,尽管周一美国国债收益率已降至超过一周以来的最低点。

那么问题来了:越多投资者逃向更安全的美国债市,美联储想要加息而不造成破坏性的市场波动,就会愈发困难。因此,即使美国经济似乎增长稳健,足以处理非危机时代的货币政策,希腊退出欧元区还是有可能妨碍美联储的加息计划。

彭博社报道,周一,投资者纷纷逃往债券投资避难所。德国10年期国债收益率由6月10日的接近1%一度下跌至0.78%,美国10年期国债收益率也从2.5%下跌至2.31%。

投资者开始更关注的是如何把钱拿回来,而不是如何避免损失。因此,即使是2年期国债,收益率都正在下降。

 


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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