为什么有时非农数据向好,金价却不跌反升?
一般在我们预判黄金走势行情时,非农数据往往是大众投资者参考的重要数据之一。一般当非农向好时,人们对黄金的投资需求就会减低,让金价发生承压。而在非农表现不佳时,市场的避险情绪就会推动资金流入黄金市场,使得金价顺势上涨。可有些时候,当非农数据向好时,黄金反而不跌还升,这到底是怎么回事?下面大田环球就给大家分析一下:
1、非农影响力并不如其他消息影响力强
虽然非农数据是影响黄金价格走向的重要因素,但由于金价行情是由市场避险情绪、美元状态、国际政治环境等多种因素决定的,所以有些时候当非农向好,但影响力比不上其他消息来得强时,就会发生金价不跌反升的怪像。
举个例子,在2020年美国受疫情困扰的时期,虽然年中的非农数据向好,政府也不遗余力地复工,但仍有大量岗位空缺在等待就业补贴的到来,这也表明了众多企业对于经济复苏的前景还是比较担忧的。而且由于当时就业市场的恢复程度低,并无出现明显的反转,失业人数增长趋势也未见拐点,所以随着破产企业数量的增加,人们的避险情绪也愈发被点燃,促使黄金等避险产品的价格上涨。
2、非农抵不过通胀压力
除了上面提到的社会经济因素,社会通胀率也是造成“非农向好而金价不跌”的现象主因。比如同样是2020年的美国,政府为了刺激社会经济恢复,曾拿出巨额的资金补贴计划刺激生产就业,但这些钱都不是大风刮来的,而是通过美联储的大量印钞外加宽松政策得来的,一旦市面上流入的美元数量增多,无疑就会刺激社会通胀率的进一步上涨,刺激人们购买黄金保值财富,所以非农数据虽然看着表现很好,但始终是隔壁拧不过大腿,无法使金价承压。
所以综合来说,为什么非农数据向好金价不跌反升?这是因为影响黄金价格的因素,除了非农还有多方面因素,假如非农的影响力不及通胀、市场避险情绪强,那么黄金的走势也会发生转变。所以我们分析市场时,一定要结合多方面因素考虑,才能找准行情方向!
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.