美国LMCI数据好不好
关键词:美国LMCI数据好不好
周二公布数据显示,美国8月就业市场状况指数LMCI实际2.1,大幅高于预期的1.5以及前值1.1,表现优异,显示出美国就业更加充分、劳动力市场发展蓬勃,并且佐证了市场对8月非农就业人数不靠谱的观点。
LMCI表现优异 抹去非农阴霾
上周五公布数据显示,美国非农就业人口实际为17.3万人,大幅低于市场预期的22万人,让市场大失所望,但由于同时公布的8月失业率数据低于预期,并创下了自2008年4月以来的最低水平,从而使市场对非农产生了“疲软假象”的看法。
而昨夜公布的LMCI表现优异,正好印证了市场的观点,从而抹去了非农给市场带来的不确定性。不过也因此正好说明了非农数据大幅下滑,或许不是由于就业市场出现衰退,而是由于就业已经实现比较充分,所以使得新增就业人口出现下降现象。
利率决议前 黄金或将维持窄幅波动
虽然该次LMCI表现优异,反映出美国就业市场逼近充分就业水平,为美联储加息提供了坚实的依据,但近期市场波动不已,无论是全球经济疲软、股市走弱、欧洲央行扩大QE,还是美国制造业数据表现不佳,都打压了市场对美联储升息的乐观预期。
因而,在LMCI公布后,黄金走出了下跌后反弹又回落的行情。从总体来看,黄金依然处于横盘震荡行情中,并没有因LMCI而受到多大的影响,大田环球分析,在美国利率决议之前,其继续维持窄幅波动的趋势是很有可能的。因此未来在伦敦金的投资上,大家可以在1115-1130区间内以逢高做空逢低买入的操作为主,具体点位可以参考大田官网的投资策略。
9月8日夜间纽盘时段美LMCI公布时候的伦敦金15分钟K线走势图
上周五(9月4日)美8月非农公布之后和本周(9月7日-9月8日)的金价走势大致情况
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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