美国今年12月份会加息吗
关键词：美国今年12月份会加息吗
美联储加息是今年市场关注的重点，从今年年初开始，市场就一直弥漫着加息的情绪，但从6月至今，美联储依然没有加息，而近期市场推测美联储加息的时机，又因为此前股市大崩盘以及美元走软而从9月推迟到12月，那么美国12月究竟会不会加息呢？
一、原油连日飙升，或推涨美国通胀水平
因美国产油数据被下修，且有报道称OPEC对低油价感到担忧，促使油价周一继续疯狂反弹逾8%，截止9月1日，美国油价已经持续三天增长，并且涨幅创下了25年来最大。原油价格反弹上涨，或将推动美国通胀率上升，为了防止通胀超出控制范围，可能会迫使美联储更早加息。
二、美国就业市场闲置变小
美联储副主席费希尔在全球央行会议上中指出，美国就业市场的闲置产能在变小，通胀正往目标迈进。而近期美国就业市场的数据也显示出劳动力市场发展强劲，如自7月18日以来初请失业金人数一直维持在28万以下，非农就业人口则维持在20万以上，7月工资水平年率也从2%提升到2.1%。
从这里看来，美国在12加息的可能性还是较高的，并且，费希尔也在此前的年会上指出，不应等到达到通胀目标再加息，这更加坚定了美联储加息的预期。
由于市场的加息情绪浓厚，虽然短期内美元可能走软，但未来美元可能受到加息的提振而走强，届时，国际金价可能遭到较强的抛压而走低，有购买黄金的投资者就需要注意了。
不过对于一些黄金投资产品而言，这也是一个较好的获利机会。好比说大田的黄金投资产品，由于交易模式为双向交易机制，当美联储加息时，美元走高，投资者可以在通过保证金杠杆交易原理做空，即所谓买跌，也是可以赚得差价盈利的。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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