季风季影响印度金需求
关键词:印度黄金需求
金价在本周已经连续四天下跌,并且跌破了1300美元/盎司的关键水平。通常来说,低于1300水平的金价会吸引亚洲地区的实物买家。
从历史上来看,从5月到9月间,通常是黄金市场最为平淡的时候,但在发达国家的金融危机之后,印度等亚洲国家的需求开始有所起色。然而,今年受到印度季风季 的影响,印度农民对实物黄金的需求有很大下降,而这些需求占印度整个黄金需求的大约70%。尤其还有印度政府对黄金进口的限制等因素。
今年6月,印度黄金需求增加了65%,这表明,在1300下方的金价对印度的黄金需求仍有推动力,但在1300上方后则难以维持。
中国的黄金需求没有印度这样的有季节性,对价格的敏感性也没有印度市场那么强。通常来说,到9月发达国家的黄金需求都将再度出现,因年末节日的黄金制品将投入生产。
有黄金预报员说,对发达国家的投资者们来说,如果金价上涨,他们将进场将价格再度推高,而对黄金和白银来说,目前基本面仍然是比较坚固的。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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