世金会报告力捧黄金
关键词:世金会季度报告
世界黄金协会2014年上半年金市回顾出炉。报告认为,2014年上半年的状况为黄金和黄金信徒带来了好消息。黄金上半年上涨了10.50%,下半年事态可能出现积极发展。
在协会1季度的报告中列举的黄金利好消息不是简单的表现。黄金协会所所预示的上涨令很多市场人士感到吃惊。该机构甚至指出,很多分析师此前预计金价会进一步走低,而非走高。另外,年中报告显示,一些投资者趁黄金2013年大跌买入。就是说,报告还指出,黄金投资需求保持不温不火,但事情可能改变。2014年下半年,有充分的理由买入黄金。债券当前大量发行,信贷息差缩紧,市场波动率处于纪录低位,这些因素为投资者买入黄金提供了一个绝佳机会。而且,黄金可以降低整体投资组合的风险,而且成本比很多基于波动性的策略更低。
加拿大皇家银行分析师则看好金银矿业股前景,他是一名颇受尊重的技术分析师,极为看多黄金,认为黄金将升向1500美元。世界黄金协会在投资展望中表示,黄金的投资兴趣正在获得动能。随着多头轧平头寸,黄金期货净多头规模在逐渐增加,黄金ETF持有量在增加,金币销售量增长。
世界上最大的黄金基金SPDR的持有量重返800吨大关,完全回补年内的流失量。
世界黄金协会认为,投资者当前的组合中持有高风险债券,2014年高收益率债券的发行量可能比2013年增加30.0%。此外,低波动也是黄金长期牛市的买入时机。最后,黄金也是对冲经济和政治不确定性的工具。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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