黄金下半年或有转机
关键词：黄金价格
尽管上周四公布非农数据后，金价承压下跌，但美国全球投资者公司首席执行官认为，金价回升的可能比较大。
“上周让金价下跌的是非农后对升息的担忧，下半年通常来说是强于上半年的，因此金价更有可能上升。”他认为即使在这样的就业情况下，利率也不会有太大提升，因为美国的财政政策仍然是很宽松的。
“我认为市场对黄金有负面情绪，看起来更像是威胁而不是机会。”他认为，今年以来金价的上涨是受到了低利率的推动，而对于进入下半年的黄金，Holmes称下半年金价的表现一般是强于上半年的表现，一系列节日的到来会推动需求。
两周前中国PMI表现积极是非常重要的，“我们的分析表明，每次中国PMI向好，很多商品的价格就有了底部。”
而金融服务公司的高级市场策略师也说：“对提早升息的预期对黄金是非常不利的。市场情绪在转向负面”
上周公布的美国6月非农远超预期，因此著名投行高盛将美联储首次升息的时间从2016年一季度提前至2015年三季度，对金价产生压力。
“黄金市场需要持续的刺激来推动，而现在没有什么新的因素。因此关注的焦点还是在表现良好的美国就业数字上，以及对利率可能更早上升的预期上。”
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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