中国黄金交割持平企稳
关键词：中国黄金
据香港政府统计处数据显示，今年前5个月，中国大陆从香港的黄金总进口量和去年同期正好持平，为400吨。
从数据来看，今年的进口量从目前数据看，在2月达到顶峰的111吨，此后每个月都处在下降中。因此，如果照这样的趋势继续下去，即中国内地从香港进口黄金量继续减少，那么恐怕今年中国的黄金需求量将无法企及创下历史水平的去年。
数据还显示，今年5月单月中国内地从香港地区进口的黄金规模跌至16个月低位，较4月环比下滑20%，仅为67.2公吨，其中净进口量共计52.3公吨。
但值得注意的是，除了香港，中国大陆目前还从上海和北京进口黄金，使得其真实的进口数字难以估计。再加上中国本身的黄金产量，譬如去年中国生产了430吨黄金，那么今年中国的黄金消费量将仍然很可能超过1000吨。
而上海黄金交易所最新报告方面，在6月16日至6月20日当周，上海黄金交易所金库总共交割黄金36.3吨。SGE的实物黄金交割量可被视为中国市场的批发需求，而这一数据仍然呈上升趋势。
从SGE交割量的规律来看，每年新年和中国春节时交割量都会有所上升，这正是因为中国将黄金作为礼物的传统。而在这两个高峰之间，其交割量则显得相对比较稳定，除了黄金价格大跌的2013年，中国大妈爆发的需求使得这一年的黄金市场变得非常的“非典型”。
因此，如果去除掉去年的非正常因素，中国的需求并没有向下，相反，仍然在向上中，SGE今年的黄金交割量至报告当周已达920吨，而今年至今全球黄金产量则为1278吨。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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