瑞士信贷预估黄金上调
关键词：瑞士信贷
瑞士信贷周一在报告中将2014年黄金价格预估从1260美元/盎司微幅上调至1270美元/盎司，但却将2014年白银价格预期从21.15美元/盎司下调至19.80美元/盎司，并将2015年白银价格预期从20.58美元/盎司下调至18.50美元/盎司。
瑞士信贷分析师在报告中指出，主要新兴市场珠宝行业对于黄金的实物需求和投资需求都非常重要，但美国货币政策的方向和实际利率水平，仍是当前决定黄金价格的最重要因素。
随着美联储缩减QE的进程走向终点，预计美国利率将上升，利率曲线短端将趋陡，这对黄金而言将是一个非常艰难的时期。此外，目前投资者仍持有大量黄金，EFT持量和纽约商品交易所市场非商业净多头头寸均居高，随着美国利率的正常化，这些头寸很可能被出脱。
分析师预计今年年底黄金价格来跌至1220美元/盎司，并可能试探去年低点1180美元/盎司。2015年底料进一步跌至1100美元/盎司。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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