黄金走势更依赖供求关系
关键字：黄金走势
德意志银行近日发表报告称，由于金价非常接近成本，黄金可能变得更像商品，以供需关系进行交易，而不再是以货币方式受各种经济因素影响进行交易。
德意志银行的策略师Xiao Fu在一份报告中称，在过去几年，当金价大大超过成本价时，它被当作了货币。但随着目前金价和成本价越来越接近，这一情况已经改变。
目前金价较其现金成本大约高出30%，但如果用全部维持成本来计算，其成本可达1200美元/盎司，和目前金价差距不大。
报告称：“在价格上升且高利润的时候，很少有人对现金成本有所怀疑，因为价格上涨速度超过了成本通胀速度。然而，市场一直有争论，认为传统的成本计算方式应该被放弃，而应采取新的方式来反应出更现实的生产成本。”
此外，德意志银行对金价继续看跌。他们预计受美国经济增长和美元走强的影响，金价会走弱。这对金价有新的不利影响，但他们预计黄金的盈利空间会再度证明是价格的支撑。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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