一季度世界黄金需求稳定
关键字：世界黄金需求
世界黄金协会昨天向全球发布了2014年第一季度《黄金需求趋势报告》。数据显示，第一季度黄金需求稳定在1074.5公吨，延续了去年同期的高位。
今年一季度数据变化最大之处在于：投资领域的变动更加显著：与2013年第一季度ETF净减持177公吨相比，今年第一季度ETF的仓位同比变化为零。金条与金币投资方面，由于一年前需求水平达到创纪录水平，本季度则不出意料地大幅下降。
因而，虽然金条和金币需求降低，但由ETF外流的几近停止所抵消。总体上，第一季度投资需求的净影响很小：同比只减少了6公吨。
分析人士认为，2013年底及2014年初曾有一种普遍预期认为，金价会进一步下跌。虽然金价并未如预期中的下跌，但市场中许多对价格较为敏感的投资者持观望态度，等待更明确的价格走势出现。这导致金条与金币的总体需求降至四年来的最低水平。
今年一季度，以美元计的平均金价比去年同期下降21%。
而黄金价格去年四季度企稳后，ETF由减仓至观望。数据显示，第一季度，ETF减持为0.2公吨，远小于去年同期减持量。具体来看，1月份ETF减持骤然放缓，2月份出现逆转，净增持大约12公吨，出现2012年12月以来首次增持。这很大程度上是由于乌克兰政治危机导致地缘政治局势紧张加剧，凸显了黄金作为风险分散工具的角色。3月出现了类似的增持，不过到3月底，投资者的注意力转向美国的经济复苏和利率上调的可能时间。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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