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俄罗斯外逃资本能否利好黄金

关键字:俄罗斯资本

有分析师认为,欧美对俄制裁将导致俄资本外流,而出逃的俄罗斯资本,将会把黄金作为一个好的去处。他认为,从制裁角度而言,黄金不会显示所有权是谁,因此更方便藏匿。

这个想法可能比较天真,即便是金条,持有人的信息也是被登记在案的,造假也没用。

同时,拿着俄罗斯的钱去购买黄金本身就会遇到障碍,没人干冒天下之大不韪去卖给俄国人金条,上了美国的黑名单那就惨了。

这就是被踢出国际金融系统的后果。

就算俄国人能买到黄金且不被查获,但影响金价最大的因素是在美联储手里,只要美联储决定加息或者完全停止QE,黄金完全可能一泻千里,到时候,俄国人拿着金条和拿着白纸将没有多大区别。

这样要它何用?

据此分析,俄罗斯外逃资本购买黄金并不是一桩划算的买卖,还有可能赔了夫人又折兵。所以,俄罗斯因素可以暂时从影响黄金的因素中去掉了,除非普京直接攻击乌克兰。

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