罗杰斯：仍不建议大量买进 黄金未触底
关键字：黄金价格
黄金价格今(2014)年以来已反弹逾10%，但商品投资大师吉姆罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)现在仍不建议大量买进。IBTimes 10日报导，罗杰斯从新加坡接受电话专访时指出，市场仍充斥太多对黄金存有迷思的投资人，在这些人退场前，金价走势恐怕难以打出底部；只有当他们认输之际，黄金才能真正触底。在美国致力发展的页岩油气方面，罗杰斯表示，若实际到现场勘查，就能发现从页岩层凿出的天然气井其实寿命都不长，在开采一年后产量就会大减40-60%，而页岩油的产量萎缩速度甚至更快。
罗杰斯说，过去几年来页岩的钻井平台需求已骤降了75%，而泵浦(pump)的需求也萎缩了50%，部分国家(例如波兰)的民众已经放弃租来的页岩田，因为他们后来才发现事情不是想象的那么简单。他呼吁大家实际走到页岩田去看看，不要只读记者的报导。印度经济时报曾在1月17日报导，罗杰斯在接受专访时指出，贵金属已经累积了大笔空单，2013年的严重跌价让所有人都变得悲观负面、态度转空，以此来看贵金属价格应该会出现反弹、但力道不会太强，他也不会在这波反弹中买进或卖出贵金属。罗杰斯并且预期，贵金属价格会在今(2014)年稍晚再度拉回，希望藉时可以打出漂亮的底部，那么大家就可以再度进场买进黄金。不过，相较于黄金，他更喜欢白银，因为白银已较历史高点重挫60%、黄金则仅大跌30-35%。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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