中国官方黄金储备数据远低于实际数量
关键字:中国官方黄金储备、中国黄金
CNBC 12日报导,Lombard Steet Research指出,中国官方的黄金储备数据可能不正确,因为自2009年更新数据(注:1,054公吨)以来当地进口加上国内产量累计已超过4,500公吨。Lombard经济学家Freya Beamish 12日指出,中国官方很有可能透过增持黄金来达到让人民币国际化的目的。Jefferies全球证券策略师Sean Darby也表示,迹象显示中国在去年金价跌到低点的时候进场买了许多黄金,进口若持续维持在高档的话也不会令人感到讶异。Beamish认为,人民币遭高估是当地消费者热衷买黄金的主因。Lombard研究显示,人民币是在2011年首度进入高估阶段、同一时间香港销往中国的黄金数量也开始大幅走高。换言之,她认为中国大妈拼命买黄金是在为将来人民币大幅走贬预作准备。barron`s 11日报导,依据Lombard Steet Research经济学家Diana Choyleva的论点来推断,如果中国经济、人民币持续看好/看升,为何当地消费者会大买黄金?会不会是当地信贷问题比外界所知的还要严重?
华尔街日报报导,中国黄金集团公司总经理孙兆学(注:现任中国铝业总经理)去年6月在受访时指出,中国的外汇储备应增持黄金以协助人民币成为真正的国际货币。他说,美元、欧元若没有黄金储备也无法成为全球性货币。《京华时报》去年7月报导,中国黄金协会副会长张炳南在受访时指出,中国老百姓投资黄金是一个「藏金于民」的好范例;中国的黄金绝对不是太多了,而是太少了:中国黄金储备占外汇总储备的1.5%、远低于全球平均值(13.2%)。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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