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各大投行均下调现货黄金价格

关键字:现货黄金价格

美林美银(BOA Merrill Lynch)周四将其黄金价格预期猛砍11%,现在认为黄金价格会在2014年回落至1150美元/盎司(此前预期为1294美元/盎司),给出的原因就是投资者缺乏买盘兴趣。

美林美银行还将2014年的白银价格预期猛砍21%至18.38美元/盎司,此前预期为26.38美元/盎司。

美林美银策略师Michael Widmer认为,如果投资者停止出售黄金,黄金价格可能会在1200美元/盎司附近趋于稳定,“但这还不是我们的基本性假设,因为投资者更有可能会继续削减他们在黄金方面的曝险程度。我们的模型表明,黄金价格可能会下跌至1000美元/盎司”。

与此同时,巴克莱资本(Barclays Capital)、MKS集团和汇丰控股(HSBC Holdings)也不看好黄金价格前景。

其中,巴克莱资本大宗商品分析师库伯(Suki Cooper)认为,黄金价格恐怕会在2014年测试2010年的低点,这样一来,2014年的黄金均价可能只有1205美元/盎司,其低点可能在1050美元/盎司,而高点可能在1375美元/盎司。2014年的交投区间会介于1105-1390美元/盎司。

MKS集团分析师团队认为,由于存在对实物贵金属需求的缘故,黄金价格可能会在2014年上半年大幅上扬,但上涨的潜力有限;随着有关美联储利率的谈论升温和全球经济复苏,黄金价格可能会在2014年第四季度走软。

 

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