高盛：2014年现货黄金价格至少跌15%
关键字：现货黄金价格
2013年黄金熊市已去，展望2014年各大投行仍不看好黄金。
高盛认为2014年金价会至少下跌15%；
摩根大通则将其对金价2014年的预测调低10%到1263美元/盎司、对2015年的预测调低12%到1275美元/盎司。摩根士丹利则认为今年平均金价将在1313美元/盎司左右。
Rhodes Precious Metals Consultancy DMCC的创始人兼顾问Jeff Rhodes则是少有对黄金持比较积极态度的人，他认为2014年将是黄金市场稳固并且有温和回升的一年。
TheGoldForecast分析师Gary Wagner部分同意这个观点，他认为尽管金价会有很大回升，但可能在今年重新测试1180美元/盎司的双底。Wagner认为对2014年第一个月的黄金市场来说，最让人难以捉摸的是美联储的动作以及1月底耶伦(Janet Yellen)的上任。
Wsgner提到了一些可能会推动金价上涨的因素，“中国的实物黄金进口在今年可能会有很大增长，印度对黄金的进口限制不可能一直延续下去。但这些因素在2013年也同样和显著，可金价仍然有大幅下跌。”
预测仅是预测。包括黄金市场在内的各大市场在新消息的推动下趋势往往发生巨变，因此需要密切关注新趋势的变化。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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