法国兴业银行：2016年金价将跌至1050
关键字：金价下跌
12月23日，法国兴业银行(Societe Generale)驻巴黎策略师Patrick Legland在给客户的邮件中写道，“黄金暴跌无疑是今年市场最惹人注目的事件之一，眼下黄金几乎已经丧失对2013年系统性风险的避险能力。此前无论是意大利选举，塞浦路斯申请援助贷款、美国政府关门或是举债上限问题都没能令金价大幅上扬。另外，上周美联储意外宣布缩减QE对黄金而言无疑更是雪上加霜。”
Legland表示，“今年黄金的暴跌很大程度上是因为此前美联储暗示缩减QE引起了整个大宗商品市场的恐慌情绪，特别是贵金属板块。未来全球主要经济体的通缩风险仍是利空黄金的主要因素之一。当前无论欧洲央行(ECB)还是美联储都下调2014年的通胀预期，此外尽管日本央行(BOJ)近期展开新一轮购债，但该国通胀依旧徘徊在1%左右。”
与此同时，Legland也在信中指出，眼下不能说没有潜在的需求，一些黄金消费国，特别是亚洲及中东地区的国家都对金价下跌反应强烈。尽管近期这些国家的需求有所降温，但总体供需仍维持在“稳定水平”。
法国兴业银行周一预计2016年黄金市场价格将跌至1050美元/盎司。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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