高盛:黄金将面临大跌15%下行风险
关键字:黄金大跌
高盛集团(Goldman Sachs)预计,尽管美国经济向好,但铁矿石、黄金、大豆和钢铜明年至少会下跌15%,将面临更大价格下行风险。
Jeffrey Currie等高盛分析师昨天在一份报告中阐述了明年十大市场主题。报告指出,其中铁矿石供大于求,面临的价格下行风险最大。其价格压力在2014年晚些时候将变得较为明显。
标普高盛现货指数跟踪的大宗商品今年下跌5%,其中玉米和贵金属领跌。玉米价格下跌的主要因素是供应增加,有关美联储将缩减QE的预期则打击了贵金属价格。高盛表示,预计铁矿石、黄金、大豆,铜的跌幅会很大,并可能推低主要生产国的货币汇率。
高盛预计金价在年底将跌至1050美元/盎司。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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