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摩根士丹利:看跌黄金 均价每年走低

关键字:摩根士丹利、黄金价格、黄金下跌

继高盛集团(Goldman Sachs)和瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)之后,摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)同样表示,预计2014年黄金价格将扩大跌幅,因为市场预期美联储(Fed)将因美国经济复苏开始缩减量化宽松(QE)规模。摩根士丹利预计2014年黄金均价为1313美元/盎司,较今年的1420美元/盎司进一步下滑;直至2018年,预计黄金均价每年都会走低。

摩根士丹利报告称,美联储缩减宽松政策只是延迟而不是取消,预计到年底美联储就有可能开始缩减宽松。同时预计华府持续的政治僵局将在触及债务上限之前得到解决。因此黄金价格不管短期还是明年或者未来都不太有上涨的空间。

前世界黄金协会主席Pierre Lassonde则认为目前的金价已经非常接近触底,但对黄金市场来说,接下来12到18个月要非常有耐心,金价会在1200美元-1400美元/盎司间持续一段时间。

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