LBMA：调查预估黄金价将达1405美元
关键字：LMBA、黄金价
路透社报导，伦敦金银市场协会（LBMA）10月2日公布对参加年会代表的一项调查显示，到下次年会召开的2014年11月，金银铂钯的价格预估将分别为每盎司1,405美元、25美元、25美元、837美元。该协会去年的调查预估今年此时金银铂钯的价格预估将分别为每盎司1,843美元、38.4美元、1,749.9美元、724.7美元。
10月2日，伦敦市场定盘价金银铂钯分别为每盎司1306.25美元、21.14美元、1389美元、715美元。
LBMA年会的与会代表认为，金价今年的跌势主要因为预期美联储将逐渐退出量化宽松政策，以及股市的上涨令黄金避险吸引力降低的影响。不过，量化宽松已经持续了多年的时间，预期最终将带来通膨，且目前全球经济复苏的力道仍相当疲弱，因此参加人士多认为至明年金价将有回升的空间。
德州教师退休基金的黄金基金经理人Shayne McGuire认为，股市的上涨确实降低了黄金的吸引力，但从另一方面来讲，如果股市的表现回软，则金价也将重新回升。香港周生生珠宝执行董事Victor Chow表示，今年上半年该公司的销售较去年大增60%，主要得益于第二季金价重挫刺激需求，并认为在大陆黄金市场饱和以前还有很长的路可走。
伦敦贵金属经纪商Sharps Pixley执行长Ross Norman表示，今年黄金市场所呈现的是由西方的投资市场（如ETF等）转向了东方的实物黄金市场，中国大陆与印度两大消费国在全球实物金的占比从以前的46%大幅增长至80%。标准渣打银行全球金属交易主管Jeremy East也指出，今年以来该行在亚洲时段的黄金交易量较去年同期倍增。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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