印尼盾跌幅扩大 提振金价
关键字：金价行情
野村控股指出，从6月以来，印尼盾跌幅达13.9%，比印度卢比10%的跌幅还惨，成为这段期间亚洲表现最惨的货币。
彭博最新的数据显示，印尼盾1个月期无本金交割远期汇率贬值1.6%，成为1万1388印尼盾兑1美元，创8月27日以来最大贬幅。
野村控股驻新加坡的经济师帕拉修里斯指出，经常帐赤字是印尼盾挫跌的主要原因，他预估印尼的经常帐赤字会今年下半年会减少，不过受到美国联邦准备理事会（FED）减少刺激措施的影响下资金外流，这将更左右印尼盾走势。
在最近3个月内，印尼银行已将政策利率提高1.5个百分点，以协助减少经常帐逆差。印度上季（截止6月）经常帐赤字由58亿美元扩大至98亿美元，创新高记录。
为挽救印尼盾跌势，印尼中央银行12日宣布再升息1码，基准利率由7%调至7.25%，这也是印尼过去近4个多月来，第4季度以升息遏止印尼盾挫跌，非美货币加息使得美元利息差压力增大，另外将对投资市场造成打击，黄金避险能力增强，提振金价。
不过，外汇观察家安瓦尔认为，不论是国际还是印尼国内的信息，接下来几周印尼盾很有可能下探至1万2000盾兑1美元。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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