高盛:预计联储局不会因此放弃退市
关键字:联储局退市
高盛(Goldman Sachs)首席经济学家 Jan Hatzius 表示,美国上周公布的非农就业数据不佳,虽然预计联储局(Fed)不会因此放弃退出宽松,但动作可望「温和」许多。
美国 8 月份非农就业新增仅 16.9 万人,低于市场预期的 18 万人,显示企业对于扩大招募仍持谨慎态度。上月失业率则降至 2008 年 12 月来新低 7.3%。
Hatzius 周日(8日)接受《CNBC》采访时指出,整体而言,景气正以还不错的步调复苏,经济开始有起色了,我们依然认为2014 年绝对会比 2013 年强劲许多。他提醒,虽然非农就业表现不佳,但 ISM 与信心指数等近期公布的数据,均显示市场朝着正向发展。
Hatzius 同时估计,联储局下次决策会议将宣布缩减购债,但会非常努力让它成为鸽派退场。
举例来说,他估计每月缩减规模约200 亿美元或更少,同时为升息提出更严苛的就业数字、劳动参与率或通膨门坎要求等。
Hatzius 说,例如必须等到失业率降至 6.5% 之下,才能开始升息等。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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