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叙利亚战争让油金大涨 目前非买进时机

关键字:叙利亚战争、油价上涨

亚洲对实物黄金的需求强劲、加上美国考虑对叙利亚出兵,带动黄金价格逐步反弹,自6月底的波段低点迄今涨幅已达20%,似乎有重返牛市的迹象。

印度经济时报(Economic Times)27日报导,商品投资大师吉姆罗杰斯(JimRogers,见附图)在接受专访时表示,中东局势日益紧张,倘若真的暴发战争,黄金、石油价格肯定会在近期内走高。

不过,罗杰斯会在油价大涨几百美元后售出,因为就算战况很糟,他也不认为价格能够维持在如此高的水位。同样地,罗杰斯也会在价格大涨一段后卖掉黄金。

他说,他已在金价跌至1,200美元时买进了一些,但目前则不打算继续购入,会等到金价稍微冷却一点再进场。此外,他现在也不打算买进石油。

罗杰斯同时看好价格已大幅走低的部分农产品,并开始买进一些糖。他说,糖的价格已从历史高点大跌超过75%。在联准会(FED)可能减码量化宽松货币政策(QE)方面,罗杰斯认为FED有能会在未来几周之内开始减码,而所有人都会因此受到冲击。不过,他表示,虽然FED可能会开始略为缩减QE规模,但随之而来的苦痛可能会迫使FED暂停减码的动作。

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